Comments on: Global Liquidity

By: ZachStocks » Blog Archive » Fortress Investment Group (FIG)

ZachStocks » Blog Archive » Fortress Investment Group (FIG) — Thu, 20 Sep 2007 17:28:18 +0000

[...] a FeedBurner Network. Proud member of PF Bloggers Network, a FeedBurner Network. « Global Liquidity MEMC Electronic Materials (WFR) » 15 [...]

By: boris

boris — Mon, 20 Aug 2007 14:20:00 +0000

the 50 basis point discount rate cut is something that might be very serious. i would not be in a hurry to assume it doesnt effect the markets. take time and care to reach that conclusion. dont be swayed by the media. and again consider being the fast money CNBC @8pm with TIVO or DVR. i see room for about 10 days of upticks.

By: Zach

Zach — Mon, 20 Aug 2007 01:48:02 +0000

haha – i don’t think i’d go that far. you just have to put it in the right context. Have a great evening and hit ‘em well tomorrow!

By: boris

boris — Mon, 20 Aug 2007 01:46:04 +0000

very slick zach. i guess my Bloomberg Asia indicator favorite places bookmark is obsolete.

By: Zach

Zach — Mon, 20 Aug 2007 01:37:42 +0000

well at 9:40 Sunday night, the US futures are down about 0.3% so I’m expecting that Asian markets are actually catching up with our strong gains from Friday and not in fact pointing to a strong US opening. But a lot can happen between now and the opening bell!

By: boris

boris — Mon, 20 Aug 2007 01:34:51 +0000

per Bloomberg almost all asian market indices have opened monday with sharp gains of 3.00%-4.00%.

By: Todd

Todd — Sat, 18 Aug 2007 23:51:18 +0000

hi i enjoyed the read

By: boris

boris — Fri, 17 Aug 2007 23:09:26 +0000

your are prudent to be cautious. i am gonna go out on a limb and open positions for multiday upticks. main bounce plays for next week are broadcom, california pizza, and intuitive surgical. BRCM- for the supersized news flow factor, CPKI- for the short interest covering + corporate share buyback = 28% of all shares outstanding, and ISRG for the stellar story and expanding popularity to inspire dip buyers to chase the bounce.

By: Zach

Zach — Fri, 17 Aug 2007 18:49:22 +0000

The question is how far they will bounce. Fed intervention will not be enough to stem the tide long-term (always my humble opinion). I wouldn’t be suprised to see us give up a lot of the ground we gained Friday morning by the end of the day Monday or Tuesday. I’m not a day trader, but this gives me an opportunity to leg into a few stocks I have been wanting to short for some time now.

By: boris

boris — Fri, 17 Aug 2007 12:40:30 +0000

the interest rates are down and friday is gonna rock.
the million-billion dollar basket balls have room to bounce.

By: The Curious Investor » Blog Archive » Plays for the Current Market

The Curious Investor » Blog Archive » Plays for the Current Market — Thu, 16 Aug 2007 13:36:40 +0000

[...] For a great analysis of the implications of the credit crunch and why it is troublesome check out ZachStocks. [...]

By: boris

boris — Wed, 15 Aug 2007 23:15:14 +0000

stp – i guess if your cheap you may sqeeze another $1 or $2 out of the $37 low end but its down there. crox- i dip bought today near $49. brcm- i dip bought yesterday lower 34s.

By: Zach

Zach — Wed, 15 Aug 2007 16:29:38 +0000

Joel, thanks for the comment. Honestly, I think there is a time and a place for modest leverage only if the investment is relatively stable and constraints are put in place to exit positions if they begin to trade outside historical norms. But the problem is that greed and fear enter the equasion all too often luring even the most seasoned investor into making poor decisions at inoportune times. This is precisely one of the main reasons why our funds do not take leverage (the other main reasons being tax considerations for clients).

Borris – i’m watching it and wondering if it will hold the 50 day. It’s not a great time to be committing much capital on the long side (in my humble opinion). There may be some decent opportunities but the risk is tremendous!

By: boris

boris — Wed, 15 Aug 2007 15:21:57 +0000

ZACH- STP is down to $37 again. the dip is $7.

By: Joel Odom

Joel Odom — Wed, 15 Aug 2007 10:54:26 +0000

Using leverage can’t increase your long term returns because you can’t continue to leverage forever. It’s the “gambler’s ruin” that without infinite resources, a Martingale like betting system, which is what leverage really is, is destined to an eventual, dramatic collapse. We’re seeing that now in the ripples from these failing loans.

Leverage is a smoke and mirrors game that can’t work forever. You have to look at the fundamentals that drive the market: corporate profitability. In the long term, it will always be the true value of the underlying securities that determine their dollar worth.

By: Trading Goddess

Trading Goddess — Wed, 15 Aug 2007 03:00:16 +0000

Nicely said.

Thanks.