Comments on: Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) – Beware of Value Trap

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By: borisb

borisb — Tue, 15 Jul 2008 18:33:43 +0000

Fannie Mae – Freddie Mac has traded down additional 66% relative to Citigroup-Wachovia-and the others. At some point there might be a sweet buy low price on these. I clearly believe this is the $5.00s zone for Freddie Mac. This is a price based on extreme panic. The “broad federal government backing” of the GSEs revealed since early Friday July 11, 2008 sugguest they will survive. disclosure moderatly long FRE @5.20 since friday morning with no other financials.

By: borisb

borisb — Tue, 15 Jul 2008 18:25:41 +0000

Mondays lows in the Chipotle B shares down in the $61s might have been one of the good short cover spot. At that price the shares were trading below 20x calender 2009, caluculated with median estimates.

By: Alex-My Trader's Journal

Alex-My Trader's Journal — Mon, 14 Jul 2008 18:45:17 +0000

Good post – Check the chart too, the short trend line of lower lows broke even lower on Thursday. That same line acted as a ceiling next and makes CMG look like it could fall deeper. I’m not quite ready to short it yet, but the August 85 calls look tempting to sell.

By: borisb

borisb — Mon, 14 Jul 2008 17:40:39 +0000

thats too bad. i guess terrific product and a mcdonalds pedigree doesnt translate to a stock that works in 2008. after last quarter my long went bust i had a worst case perceptions of about $60-ish on the B shares, maybe the shares will flatten in this hot downside zone soon. you nailed the swing right. the question mark is when will long term expansion potential with entrees priced in the low $6.00s (florida) make this breakout momentum stock turn up and get going again.