Comments on: Consumer Confidence Pressures Rebound http://zachstocks.com/2010/02/consumer-confidence-pressures-rebound/ Dynamic Investments for Exceptional Traders Sun, 05 Sep 2010 11:22:28 -0600 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.6 hourly 1 By: econdoc http://zachstocks.com/2010/02/consumer-confidence-pressures-rebound/comment-page-1/#comment-9790 econdoc Tue, 02 Mar 2010 20:30:15 +0000 http://zachstocks.com/?p=3864#comment-9790 you can wind up in the loony bin if you worry about every single number - too much noise every forest has a few dead trees in it - its the forest that matters E you can wind up in the loony bin if you worry about every single number – too much noise

every forest has a few dead trees in it – its the forest that matters

E

]]> By: BUZZER http://zachstocks.com/2010/02/consumer-confidence-pressures-rebound/comment-page-1/#comment-9789 BUZZER Tue, 02 Mar 2010 20:29:51 +0000 http://zachstocks.com/?p=3864#comment-9789 A 60 year old retiring in 5 years should not be thinking annuity because there's a reasonable probability that he/she will live another 25 to 30 years; therefore equities should still remain a portion of a diversified portfolio. A 60 year old retiring in 5 years should not be thinking annuity because there’s a reasonable probability that he/she will live another 25 to 30 years; therefore equities should still remain a portion of a diversified portfolio.

]]> By: econdoc http://zachstocks.com/2010/02/consumer-confidence-pressures-rebound/comment-page-1/#comment-9788 econdoc Tue, 02 Mar 2010 20:29:02 +0000 http://zachstocks.com/?p=3864#comment-9788 People need to use commonsense In October 1962 the S&P was 62. The planet was on the brink of annihilation. Does anyone believe consumers felt good? What was the confidence reading of people sitting in bunkers? It just does not matter. A number like this - like a lot of them in the scheme of things it is noise. Pure and simple. In 50 years the market is from 60 to 1100. That's 18 times! And this at the tale end of Great Recession 2. People need to get a grip. If you are retired or just about to retire say in the next 5 years - the last 18 months has been a disaster - if you were overexposed in equities you should be kicking yor advisot. I really feel for those people. It has made me think about an Immediate Annuity when the time finally comes. But for everyone else - this is nothing. In 10 years it will be a tiny little bump. In 20 years it will be tough to remember. E People need to use commonsense

In October 1962 the S&P was 62. The planet was on the brink of annihilation. Does anyone believe consumers felt good? What was the confidence reading of people sitting in bunkers?

It just does not matter. A number like this – like a lot of them in the scheme of things it is noise. Pure and simple.

In 50 years the market is from 60 to 1100. That’s 18 times! And this at the tale end of Great Recession 2. People need to get a grip.

If you are retired or just about to retire say in the next 5 years – the last 18 months has been a disaster – if you were overexposed in equities you should be kicking yor advisot. I really feel for those people. It has made me think about an Immediate Annuity when the time finally comes. But for everyone else – this is nothing. In 10 years it will be a tiny little bump. In 20 years it will be tough to remember.

E

]]> By: bbro http://zachstocks.com/2010/02/consumer-confidence-pressures-rebound/comment-page-1/#comment-9787 bbro Tue, 02 Mar 2010 20:28:37 +0000 http://zachstocks.com/?p=3864#comment-9787 You are right...I wish I could just send the chart...anyway the point is l guess when the Consumer Confidence is below 66 it has been in the past a good buy.... You are right…I wish I could just send the chart…anyway the point is l guess when the Consumer Confidence is below 66 it has been in the past a good buy….

]]> By: Econdoc http://zachstocks.com/2010/02/consumer-confidence-pressures-rebound/comment-page-1/#comment-9786 Econdoc Tue, 02 Mar 2010 20:28:18 +0000 http://zachstocks.com/?p=3864#comment-9786 Focus on earnings and what consumers and businesses DO - not how they FEEL. Earnings, Dividends. That is what drives returns to Capital. Consumer Feelings are not critical - you could almost say that the negatie sentiment is good as it puts a real dampener on inflationary expectations and wage pressures. Focus on earnings and what consumers and businesses DO – not how they FEEL.

Earnings, Dividends. That is what drives returns to Capital. Consumer Feelings are not critical – you could almost say that the negatie sentiment is good as it puts a real dampener on inflationary expectations and wage pressures.

]]> By: BUZZER http://zachstocks.com/2010/02/consumer-confidence-pressures-rebound/comment-page-1/#comment-9785 BUZZER Tue, 02 Mar 2010 20:27:42 +0000 http://zachstocks.com/?p=3864#comment-9785 That's a bit ambiguous since "whenever" implies every time or 100%; so what 12% occurrence refer to? That’s a bit ambiguous since “whenever” implies every time or 100%; so what 12% occurrence refer to?

]]> By: bbro http://zachstocks.com/2010/02/consumer-confidence-pressures-rebound/comment-page-1/#comment-9784 bbro Tue, 02 Mar 2010 20:27:15 +0000 http://zachstocks.com/?p=3864#comment-9784 According to Ned Davis Research...whenever the Consumer Confidence Index has been below 66 the S&P 500 has gained 20% per annum .....this condition has occured 12% of the time over the last 40 years.... According to Ned Davis Research…whenever the Consumer Confidence Index has been below 66 the S&P 500 has gained 20%
per annum …..this condition has occured 12% of the time over the last
40 years….

]]> By: IntelligentSpeculator http://zachstocks.com/2010/02/consumer-confidence-pressures-rebound/comment-page-1/#comment-9730 IntelligentSpeculator Wed, 24 Feb 2010 18:31:11 +0000 http://zachstocks.com/?p=3864#comment-9730 Thanks for the link Zach! Thanks for the link Zach!

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